Google

Wednesday, May 7, 2008

IT stocks zooms as Indian rupee slips to 8 month low

Meanwhile the BSE Sensex was down 87.49 points or 0.50% to 17,285.52

India`s second largest software exporter by sales TCS was the top gainer from Sensex pack. The stock surged 3.22% to Rs 968.05 on 4.46 lakh shares.

Other Infosys Technologies (up 1.36% to Rs 1846), Wipro (up 0.30% to Rs 499.80), and Satyam Computers (up 0.20% to Rs 496.20), advanced.

The BSE IT sector outperformed the market over the past one month till 6 May 2008, gaining 18.87% compared to the Sensex`s return of 10.26%. It also outperformed the market in the past one quarter, advancing 14.93% compared to Sensex`s decline of 4.23%.

A firm dollar augurs well for IT pivotals as they derive majority of revenue from exports. The Indian rupee fell further sharply by 19 paise to Rs 41.13/14 against the American dollar as oil companies stepped up dollar buying after the global crude oil hit yet another high amid weakness in local stock.

IT pivotals had advanced steadily after India`s second largest software exporter by sales Infosys Technologies issued decent guidance for the year ending March 2009. Infosys has given guidance of a between 16.3% to 18.3% growth in earnings per share (EPS) to between Rs 92.32 to Rs 93.92 for the year ending March 2009 (FY 2009) over the year ending March 2008. It has given guidance of a between 19.2% to 21.1% growth in revenue to between Rs 19894 crore to Rs 20214 crore for the year ending March 2009 over the year ending March 2008

As per US GAAP, Infosys has given guidance of a 16.7% to 18.7% growth in earnings per American Depository Shares at between $2.31 to $2.35 for the year ending March 2009 over the year ending March 2008. It has given guidance of a between 19% to 21% growth in revenue as per US GAAP to between $4.97 billion to $5.05 billion for the year ending March 2009 over the year ending March 2008

The company sees significant growth opportunities in the medium to long term. It, however, may face short-term challenges due to global economic uncertainties

Read More...

National Aluminium is planning to set up new power plant Rs 14k-cr unit in Orissa

National Aluminium Company (Nalco) is exploring the possibility of setting up a greenfield aluminium smelter and captive power plant near Jharsuguda, western Orissa at an investment of more than Rs 14,000 crore. The capacity of the proposed smelter is pegged at 5 lakh tonnes per annum with a captive generation facility of 1,250 MW. The alumina required for the project is likely to be sourced from Nalco's existing refinery at Damanjodi.

Engineer's India (EIL), which has been appointed the consultant, has found the project technically feasible. Jharsuguda is being chosen as the possible site for the plant as it is in the vicinity of the IB valley coal reserves. While the company has the required technology, land acquisition is expected to be trouble-free as most part of the identified patch is government land and barren. The state-owned Industrial Promotion and Investment Corporation of Orissa (Ipicol) has forwarded the company's application for water from IB River to the water resources department.

Besides, the company is weighing various options for setting up smelter plants in countries like South Africa and Iran depending upon the availability of cheap power. It has recently entered into a MoU with the Kerman Development Organisation for setting up a smelter and subsequently a gas-based power plant in Iran in a joint venture. The capacity of the proposed smelter will be 3.1 lakh tonnes which will come up in two phases.

Read More...

Tuesday, May 6, 2008

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd - target price of Rs1,968

Our meeting with the management of Reliance Infrastructure Ltd. (REL Infra, earlier Reliance Energy Ltd.), on its Analyst Day reinforces our positive view on the stock. REL Infra has reorganized its holding structure to create separate SPVs for each different line of business, which we believe enables the company to unlock value in the EPC and BOT businesses over the medium term.

The company continues to focus on integrating its power distribution business with generation through Reliance Power Ltd. and transmission projects through Reliance Power Transmission Ltd. Moreover, REL infra is looking to scale up its EPC business (Rs90bn order backlog) through bidding for EPC contracts of RPL’s generation projects and other third party projects. The company has reported progress as per schedule in its five road and two metro rail BOTs. Further, Reliance Power (RPL), the power generation SPV of REL Infra, has acquired three coal mine concessions in Indonesia, with estimated reserves of 2bn tons having average GCV of 4,000-4,500Kcal with 30% moisture.

The total reserves are sufficient for 10,000MW of power capacity, including the 4,000MW Krishnapatnam UMPP and 1,200MW Shahpur thermal power plant. RPL has added another 4,000MW of projects to its portfolio, taking the total capacity under development to ~32,000MW. We continue to like REL Infra’s business model of integration across the value chain of power coupled with strong presence in EPC and BOT segments.

Read More...

Google